keepsel
← All posts

· Updated · 1 min read

How to Forecast Materials for a Big Order

Saying yes to a big order is the easy part. Making sure you have the materials to fill it, on time, is where it's won or lost. Here's how to plan it.

A big order (a wholesale account, a corporate gift run, a bulk custom request) is a great problem to have. It's also where makers get caught: you say yes to the quantity without checking whether you have the materials to make it, and then you're scrambling to source supplies with a deadline bearing down. The fix is to turn the order into a materials plan before you commit.

Translate the order into materials

Every product has a recipe: the materials and amounts it uses. Multiply that by the order quantity and you have exactly what the order needs. A 200-unit order isn't "200 units" to plan; it's the wax, wicks, jars, and labels to make 200, each with its own supplier and lead time.

Check stock, then fill the gap

  1. Multiply each product's recipe by the order quantity.
  2. Compare that to what you have on hand.
  3. Order the shortfall early, with lead time to spare.
  4. Confirm the order's deadline is realistic given production and supply.
Don't promise a quantity you haven't checked the materials for. A big order you can't fill on time is worse than one you turned down.

Mind your cash and your other orders

A big material order is a big up-front spend, so mind your cash flow; a deposit on the order helps. And don't let one large job eat the materials your regular customers need; plan for both.

Plan big orders on real recipes

Forecasting materials by hand for a large order is exactly where mistakes hide. From the Maker plan, ask Suli whether you can make the order: it works out the materials from your recipes, checks them against stock, and says what you're short of, so you can say yes to a big order knowing you can fill it.

Run the whole shop from one conversation.

Put this guide to work

Keep reading

Get the next guide by email.

Plain, practical notes on pricing, stock and running a small handmade shop, and what's new in Keepsel.

Occasional emails from Keepsel: new guides for makers and what's new in Keepsel. Unsubscribe anytime. We confirm by email first. See our privacy policy.